,Petronas plans to spend 55% of the annual capex allocation on domestic investments, with the remainder on international investments.
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RISING global oil prices amidst increasing Covid-19 vaccination rates and anticipated higher world economic growth rates in 2022 are brightening the outlook for Malaysia’s oil and gas sector, say research analysts.
According to the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) in its latest monthly oil market report, world oil demand is projected to hit 100.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022, exceeding pre-pandemic levels.
This is compared against global oil demand in 2021, which is now projected to average 96.7 million b/d.
“As vaccination rates rise, the Covid-19 pandemic is expected to be better managed and economic activities and mobility will firmly return to pre-Covid-19 levels. Steady economic developments are expected to support the partially delayed recovery in oil demand in various sectors,” said the cartel.
Opec pointed out that United States growth is forecast at 6.1% in 2021, supported by unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus, followed by projected growth of 4.1% in 2022, with further potential upside that may come from additional fiscal stimulus.Opec logo hq
Growth in the eurozone has also picked up strongly, especially in the second quarter of 2021, with economic growth for the entire year forecast at 4.7%, followed by 3.8% in 2022.
Meanwhile, China’s first half of 2021 (H1’21) gross domestic product (GDP) figures confirmed a stable economic recovery, albeit the renewed Covid-19 variant outbreak is forecast to limit 2021 growth at 8.5%.
“China’s anticipated softening of the H2’21 growth momentum is forecast to continue into 2022, leading to growth of 6%. India’s growth is forecast at 9% for 2021 and 6.8% in 2022,” said the cartel.
Meanwhile, Opec noted that global oil demand in the third quarter of 2021 (Q3’21) has proved to be resilient, supported by rising mobility and travelling activities, particularly in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
However, H2’21 global oil demand has been adjusted slightly lower, partially delaying the oil demand recovery into H1’22 due to the increased risk of Covid-19 cases primarily fuelled by the Delta variant, clouding oil demand prospects going into the final quarter of the year, resulting in downward adjustments to Q4’21 estimates.
Meanwhile, AmInvestment Bank Research maintains its “overweight” call on the oil and gas sector, and says it likes Dialog Group Bhd for its resilient non-cyclical tank terminal and maintenance-based operations, as well as Yinson Holdings Bhd