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ios developer account( if PN returns to power, Bersatu faces bleak GE15 - analysts


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Only several days after it fell, the Perikatan Nasional (PN) government is said to potentially be back in power again, soon.

With Umno's Ismail Sabri Yaakob among the main candidates to fill the prime minister position recently vacated by Bersatu's Muhyiddin Yassin, it does not appear like there will be much change in terms of the coalition's composition if the PN does return to power.

However, this also begs the question: Will the problems plaguing PN before this remain the same - specifically, the often tense relationship between Bersatu and Umno over the issue of positions in government?

Now that Bersatu is no longer as dominant as Umno, the far smaller and younger party will now be tested on its survival, whether it is avoiding being sidelined in the government - and on its chances in the next general election.

For Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM) political analyst Jamaie Hamil, Bersatu is a party without a future in the 15th general election (GE15).

Even if the new Ismail Sabri-led PN government does not see infighting as intense as last time, Jamaie said, Umno and Bersatu will still sever all ties when it comes to the next general election so they can avoid seat negotiations between the two parties.

Bersatu is a splinter party of Umno and 15 of its seats were won under the Umno ticket in the previous general election, after which the Umno lawmakers switched their allegiance to Bersatu.

"Whether (a) Bersatu (politician) becomes the prime minister or the position is given to Umno, in the real election, Umno will probably sever ties with Bersatu and both of them will go their own way," Jamaie told Malaysiakini yesterday.

"In GE15, Bersatu does not have a place. There will be some of its leaders who will win, but for most of the seats that Umno won - that the MPs later jumped to Bersatu - Umno will get those back.

"In the history of Umno, if they (the lawmakers) left Umno, they will no longer be popular. For example, Mohd Isa Abdul Samad. Who doesn't know him? He was the Negeri Sembilan menteri besar for how many decades?

Former Federal Territories minister and former Negeri Sembilan menteri besar Mohd Isa Abdul Samad

"But when he contested in the Port Dickson by-election, he lost massively," Jamaie added, citing Isa's big loss of 4,230 votes to PKR president Anwar Ibrahim's 31,016 votes in the Port-Dickson by-election in 2018.

Even if the relationship between Umno and Bersatu can endure past GE15, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia's Azmi Hassan said, compared to Umno, Bersatu is the one that got the brunt of the negative perception that PN failed in governing the country.

"The rakyat sees that PN 1.0 has failed to govern the country and this perception sticks more to Bersatu and PAS, compared to Umno," he said, adding that Umno's position as the more dominant party is to its benefit in any seat negotiations.


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